Help_Small_Investors: Analysis
Showing posts with label Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Analysis. Show all posts

Tuesday, 9 March 2021

View and Analysis on BPCL

March 09, 2021 0
View and Analysis on BPCL

Analysis on BPCL

Is it the right time to Invest in BPCL ?

Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited's (BPCL's) stock, which had gained 43% since October and was trading near 52-week highs, was down almost 5% in the morning trades on Tuesday. The fall comes on the back of reports of the company's move to sell treasury stake worth over ₹3,700 crore.

A sub-committee of the board of directors of BPCL had approved the sale of the company's equity shares held by BPCL Trust for Investment in Shares. The total number of equity shares being offered is up to 158,993,397 equity shares held by the above trust. With the stake sale progressing on Tuesday, the stock was bound to trend lower. Nevertheless, the stake sale also signals progress on resolving the key issues related to privatization, say analysts who also expect BPCL to distribute proceeds from the treasury sale as dividends.


Zee Business Managing Editor Anil Singhvi said that today there was a Big Block Deal that went through on BPCL. The company is going to sell 16 cr shares worth Rs 7000 cr via Block Deal. Treasury shares means the company that has its own shares, explains Singhvi.  Generally, companies sell Treasury shares and try to avoid keeping them. So, while investors get the shares, the company gets cash, says Singhvi. BPCL share price today is Rs 444, down Rs 23 or 4.9%.

The key issue is, what will be the purpose of generating this much cash?  Anil Singhvi said there is a big possibility that ahead of Divestment, BPCL may announce a big dividend from the cash generated via selling Treasury shares. The amount left after deducting tax from Rs 7000 cr will be used by the company to distribute dividend to BPCL shareholders.

Anil Singhvi recommends that investors should buy the shares when the Block Deal happens. Singhvi says it is a golden chase for investors who intend to invest in BPCL. Sellers are giving a good buy opportunity to investors. The floor price for the deal is Rs 435. Investors should buy BPCL for Dividend and Divestment.

This is for investors who will stay invested in the stock and reap benefits of Dividend and Divestment.

The share price of BPCL may fall below the floor price of the Block Deal and market risk will remain, the same as with any other stock, explained Singhvi.


The country’s second biggest state refiner Bharat Petroleum Corporation (BPCL), which is one of the key divestment candidates of the government, launched a block deal on March 8 to sell up to 4 percent of its treasury shares worth Rs 3,700 crore, sources with the knowledge of the matter told CNBC Awaaz.

According to the term sheet of the deal, reviewed by CNBC Awaaz, BPCL has set a floor price of Rs 435 per share for the proposed transaction which is at a 7 percent discount to the closing price on March 8, 2021.

To be sure, around 9 percent of the equity shares of BPCL were created as treasury shares post the 2013 merger of the refiner with state-run Kochi Refinery. Two percent of those treasury shares were earmarked for the employees benefit trust, leaving behind a kitty of 7 percent shares.

“As of now, the block deal is for 4 percent of the shares, but based on market demand, the size may be hiked to 7 percent. The situation is fluid as of now," one of the individuals cited above told CNBC Awaaz.

“Most of the proceeds of the BPCL block deal are likely to be used for a special dividend for shareholders going ahead,” said a second individual.

“Citi, Kotak and ICICI Securities are the bankers to the block deal," the second individual added.

Both the individuals spoke to CNBC Awaaz on the condition of anonymity. BPCL and the bankers could not be contacted for immediate comment.

Recently, in a move considered as a first step towards its divestment, BPCL approved the sale of the firm's holding in the Numaligarh Refinery for Rs 9,878 crore.

The government plans to conclude the strategic sale of BPCL in the June quarter, Department of Investment and Public Asset Management (DIPAM) Secretary Tuhin Kanta Pandey had said In February, 2021.

Three preliminary bids have been submitted for buying a controlling stake in BPCL. Back in November, mining-to-oil conglomerate Vedanta had confirmed putting in an expression of interest (EoI) for buying the government's 52.98 percent stake in BPCL. The other two bidders are said to be global funds, one of them being Apollo Global Management.



On the back of treasury stake, the BPCL has fallen 5% .. According to me the fall in today's market is the best time to invest in BPCL for a good return in a short span.

The levels of 430-440 are good levels to enter in the stock. Take this as an opportunity to invest for a target of Rs 500 for a short time..

So don't lose these levels and put ur capital and earn awesome returns.


Sunday, 28 February 2021

View on the Bank Nifty for next week

February 28, 2021 0
View on the Bank Nifty for next week

Bank nifty View for the coming week:

Good Morning Everyone, its good to see you all after a small gap. 

Today I would like to share my opinion of Bank Nifty, As the crash in the market has created huge panic among the traders. Some of you want some help. So let me put forward my view on the market

Now on a day, a falls of 2000 points in a day has become common. For many it's a big fall, Honestly, it's not because the market has gone up significantly and we need to take the rise and fall not on the basis of numbers but in percentages.

This means 5-7% falls in the market are absolutely fine.

So Let's see if there are any more falls left in the market when there will be a  U- return. At what level should we need to  invest again And what stock to invest in




So looking at the chart it looks like 34773 is the support next support is 34500

watch these levels, 35233 is the real level or halt level to buy then true entering at 35355 for the target of 35750.

so small investment at these levels and double the investment once Bank Nifty crosses 35355 for a target up to 35750..

 Simple Moving Averages of BANK NIFTY

MA Type5 SMA10 SMA15 SMA20 SMA50 SMA100 SMA200 SMA
SMA35635.8036192.3136107.1535736.1033092.8230070.2025808.03

Signal BearishNeutralNeutralBearishBullishBullishStrong Bullish


The stocks to watch are Reliance, Indusind, and, ICICI bank

These are the stock which has the same trend that of the Bank Nifty.

So keep ur cash in hand to gain and start investing in these stocks to gain at least 6-8 % in a short time.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

All the Targets in Bank Nifty are achieved..

35233

35353

35750 are the target got Achieved.😃😃👋👋.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>



Friday, 16 October 2020

View on Index 16-10-2020

October 16, 2020 0
View on Index 16-10-2020

 Index: Nifty


Market Looks like taken a pause ar these levels 11760
Till the time Nifty is crossed 11800
one can be short, with a target of 11720.
So sell Nifty @11760 target of 11720
Remember long only once it crosses 11800.

Index: BankNifty

Likewise, BankNifty also looks weak below 23500
So one sell here as well for a target of 23200

Long-only after it breaks 23500

Saturday, 15 August 2020

Tata Motors - Analysis

August 15, 2020 0
Tata Motors - Analysis
                                                           

Today, we are going to analyze the Performance of Tata Motor's and will try to understand from these levels how far can it go.                                                       

Background: Tata Motors is run by one of the most respectable persons "Ratan Tata". He is the one who has donated 15000 cores towards PM Fund. Another thing is his contribution inform of  Charity almost 40- 60 % of his profit is given towards it.

Tata Motors is the true wish filler for middle-class families who are dreaming of being the owner of a car in the true sense.

Coming to the performance of the stock :

Stock is currently trading at 124. If someone looks its falls and rise in the recent it formed a bottom of 63.5 and  high of 201.7

Though the China - America cold war and lockdown have impacted its performance and took the price to 66. Now, what left is only positive .. Correct a little on the fall and jump twice on good news is its trend now by the way it is a trend that we could see in all Auto Sectors. So one who is looking from an investment point of view can hold the stock.


Let's see the promoter holding in the stock :



The stock's recent quarterly results are :


Now Technically will try to understand the performance of   the stock    Right now it is  trading at its 200 SMA levels




As per the chart, the near term target is 139.. if it crosses one could expect a big target of 163 and 200. It is still a good investment stock for a Mid-Long term view.

I am bullish on this stock from 75 levels where I have given a buy on this stock that was in March - April 2020 So I do not see those levels to come again in this stock.

80- 100  is a very good level to buy this stock.

Positives: Good management, 50% promoters holding, all the negative news are priced in, Sector is in trending move.

Conclusion: In my opinion its a perfect buy.


Tuesday, 11 August 2020

Analysis - Bajaj Finance

August 11, 2020 0
Analysis - Bajaj Finance


Stock: Bajaj Finance

Stock is expected to show a good up move once it crosses 3500. One can see uptrend up to 3650-3700.

The first diagram on the left-hand side is of Day Chart. Which shows that it got some challenges in crossing 3500. So one could take a shot putting stop loss at 3500 or be in no trade zone until it crosses 3500.

This stock can be traded for the long term, Intraday, and also one can also take positional call in it.

Intraday: Stock seems to have got good support at 3420 ..seems small resistance at 3445.

Positional: Stock has got Support of 3200 and a target of 3650-3700.

The second diagram represents the short term or intraday chart. As per its 3420 levels is acting as support with a target of 3445 and if crosses 3450 aim for 3490 and if it crosses 3500 add more for a target of 3600 to 3700 plus targets for the small - midterm.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

✌Bajaj Finance is on Fire. Both 3445 and 3490 Targets are Achieved.✌
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>


Monday, 10 August 2020

Analysis - IndusInd Bank Stock

August 10, 2020 0
Analysis - IndusInd Bank Stock

                                                       IndusInd Bank

Today I am going to do an Analysis of IndusInd. The stock in recent times has corrected from the 1500  level's to 230 level and then recently went up to 560 level. And currently trading at 509.

It's a very high Beta Which means the Stock price Raises and Falls more than the Index itself.

Let's look at the chart of the IndusInd bank


As one can look at the chat and can notice that it is in the range-bound (460-570).
Based on Chart I can say IndusInd Bank is having a strong at 460-470 level and strong resistance at 570.
So who has brought it near 570 can hold for now as the stock has moving slowing moving up word direction. 

Let's look at the Balance Sheet of its recent times:


Now let's look at the Share holder's List


Pro and Cons:

Pro: Very Stable private bank,, Accumulation happened at level 460-500 one could take it as support, Good promotors percentage.

Cons: High beta, NPA is high, Profit has reduced in the last few quarters.


Buy/Hold/Sell: My suggestion would be to hold the stock and buy more if it falls to 460. We should see a price of 750 plus in One - Two years.

Bottom line: Hold.

Saturday, 11 July 2020

Analysis of Indigo stock

July 11, 2020 0
Analysis of Indigo stock





                                            

In my view in the coming days Indigio Stock will give us Good returnson on our investment. It's beening trading in this range i.e, in between 1000-1050 for quite sometime now .Yesterday and  a day  before that  it looked like it's going to break this range and would go up atleast to 1150 . However it traded around 1063 and came down to 1001 and now its tradig at 1016..The stock is fundamentally strong, through there are news around regarding  the reduction in staff and losses that incurred because of lockdown.However I personelly think that everything is priced in now...So the news of  opening of flights would witness a very good  RELIEF rally that would add  another 150  points to the stock from here..which will take the stock atleast to 1150..Then at that level's he will review the stock again based on the  Financial conditions and Technical analysis...
Whatever I am sharing is purly my opion based on Technical Analysis...

So buy at these level's :1000-1020 for a target of 1150.. 

Time period : 30-45 days.
.................................................................................................................................................................

Like I said in the video it look support @940..At these levels I have added more to my portfolio And in short term it would be trading around 1200🙂 ,No need to worry Just hold on to it..

..................................................................................................................................................................................

✌✌Yippie!! The target in Indigo Achieved .. 1150 and 1200✌✌  ... 

..................................................................................................................................................................