Help_Small_Investors: Share Market Toaday
    • Showing posts with label Share Market Toaday. Show all posts
    Showing posts with label Share Market Toaday. Show all posts

    Wednesday, 4 November 2020

    Share Market Today 04-11-2020

    November 04, 2020 0
    Share Market Today 04-11-2020

                                                             Share Market Today                        

    Today the market's behavior is totally dependent on US Elections.


    Today Market is going to be very Volatile

    I would request people to stay away from the trading because a big swing is expected today.
    US Election: Who will the Election determine the direction
    If Trump Wins then the market will move sharply in an upwards direction
    If Trump loses then sharp downfalls.
    So if someone is new to trade then time to learn rather than taking any positions.
    But if someone likes to take the risk then I would recommend buying one Call and One PUT. Because the market is going to move up or fall down in one direction significantly.

    Hedging is the Best Tactic.

    If we talk about the data FII is more on the downside and tomorrow is the expiry

    So if Trump wins a big short-covering would take place, if he loses then a fall is expected The reason is that BankNifty is at the high so easily big falls around 600-800 points are quite easily can be accomplished.

    Again and Again I repeating a panic would be seen in the market
    Bank nifty


    So with the help of the chart,we can clearly see that Bank nifty is very bullish and almost making new high and other hand the support is at 24800.

    so i donot think the small investor would able to withstand in todays volatile market on the other hand Nifty is looking much weaker so anytime it can take a U turn

    Nifty

    Looking at the chart Nifty is near its Resistance at 11900 and Support at 11700,11600 .

    FII/FPI trading activity on NSE,BSE and MSEI in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
    CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
    FII/FPI03-Nov-20208481.576207.172274.4


    DII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MSEI in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
    CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
    DII03-Nov-20204316.485417.4-1100.92

    FII have shown interest in buying however like always DII is on the sellsideike everyone knows when the FII buys DII sells.

    If someone wants to see how Volatitle the market going to be.
    Just have a look on Dowjones  when I started analyzing the market of today it was in red by 100 points now it is 3% up and trading in green 

    Same way the Nifty was down by 80 points and now it is trading in green by 20points.Its just a start and a lot of up and downs are expected. No resistance or supports plays the role unless US election comes out with a clear winner.
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    Sunday, 18 October 2020

    Share Market Toaday (19-10-2020)

    October 18, 2020 0
    Share Market Toaday (19-10-2020)

     Hello Friend from today we will be posting our View on Index - Nifty50, and Bank Nifty 

    So guys, in recent times i.e in the last 11 days of the trading session. If one monitored the market, they will find that the Index has outperformed the market out of 11 trading sessions almost 9 times Nifty ended in the green.

    Nifty


    One can see from the charts that the Nifty50 almost from 11700 went up to 12000 almost in one direction. i.e Uptrend
    Then on Thursday, it fell significantly. Of course one can not deny that the fall was because of the retailers who were maintaining a bullish view. All of them sold PUTS and unfortunately when the market fell all of their positions are to be exited before  3:15 (because of expiry) because of it they put more pressure on the downside and left no chance of recovery.

    If you look at the FII and DII chart one could understand that the Selling from FII and DII was not on the high side when we compare to the previous trading days.

    FII/FPI trading activity on NSE,BSE and MSEI in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
    CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
    FII/FPI16-Oct-20204605.475085.06-479.59

    DII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MSEI in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
    CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
    DII16-Oct-20202545.892975.7-429.81


    That's the reason when all the long positions exited from the market and there are no new shot positions it was expected to move up. that's why our market went up yesterday.

    Now  coming to  Monday's trade one can see yesterday the market though went up but Nifty in particular facing strong resistance at 11800
    This means that the market is considered to be strong on the up move only after crossing 11800.

    Bank Nifty



    Now Bank Nifty Which is really beaten very badly due to Monetary Policy and other reason Even on Expiry the Bank Nifty has fallen nearly 1000 Points. The bottom line remains the same the long position was built-up, however when the entire world's market is down our which made our market to fall and the retailers who build the position here too have to exit because of expiry which contributed to the fall.

    In the Bank Nifty, I will say that  23500 is a race line which means the  Bank nifty can remain positive or be on the long side above 23500.


    FII and DII 

    One could see with Yesterday's FII and DII data,  Option buying took place since it is the first day it's hard to say which direction the movement would happen.Index and Stock Buying happened. The indication is good But let's see in detail a couple of other data points

    Cash Purchase

                                        FII                                                                                        DII
    16-Oct-20204,605.475,085.06-479.592,545.892,975.70-429.8

    The cash purchase talk about of selling not by much. But selling is seen

    FII INDEX
                        
                                     FII Index Futures                                          FII Index Options
    16-Oct-20204,061.404,103.65-42.25188,433.04187,760.43672.61

    We can selling happened in FII Index Futures and Buying in FII Index which means Hedging. One can think that FII selling Index Futures and doing Hedge by buying options. So clearly an indication for me is that one can some Resistance or selling at higher levels.

    To conclude this post with my opinion is as follows:

    Nifty: Weak below 11800

    Bank Nifty: Strong as long as it is above 23500

    So wait and see whether Nifty will bring the Bank Nifty down or it's  Bank Nifty that's going pull the Nifty. Tomorrow's session is going to be very interesting. 

    Let's see who wins this tug of war.
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